Why is this important
The change of leader in the flour market in Afghanistan indicates the growing export competitiveness of Uzbekistan.
Uzbekistan’s flour prices are higher than Russia’s — reflecting quality, logistics, or customs conditions. Uzbekistan is strengthening trade ties and becoming an important regional food supplier.
What happened
- In 2024, Uzbekistan exported 1.2 million tons of flour to Afghanistan at an average price of $273 tons, Kazakhstan — 1.1 million tons at $265 per ton; Russia — 237 thousand at $209 per ton.
- In January-June 2025, deliveries from Uzbekistan amounted to 691 thousand tons, from Kazakhstan — 537 thousand tons; Russia — only about 14 thousand tons.
What they say
Analyst Marina Sidak stated that Uzbekistan has “confidently taken a leading position” in the market for wheat flour supplies to Afghanistan.
It is noted that Uzbek flour prices are slightly higher than competitors’ prices, which may be a consequence of transportation costs, product quality, or trading conditions.
Context
Flour is a key import commodity for Afghanistan, where domestic production does not meet demand. The growth of Uzbekistan’s exports coincides with global challenges to food security.
Price increases could affect food inflation in Afghanistan, with rising volumes indicating improved logistics and export infrastructure in Uzbekistan.